Award-winning musician Akon recently pleaded with his fans on a video-sharing website not to request him to record crypto-related messages. However, in a post on the website, the music producer did not share reasons for his newfound disinterest in cryptocurrencies. Singer Unwilling to Endorse Crypto A few years after promoting the futuristic, Wakanda-style city in […]
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Veteran investor Jim Rogers, who co-founded the Quantum Fund with billionaire investor George Soros, expects all cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin, to disappear someday. Anticipating bitcoin going to “zero,” he stressed: “I’m very skeptical of crypto. I don’t expect it to last … I do not see any long-term value in cryptocurrency.” Jim Rogers Remains Skeptical of […]
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In recent years, attention towards layer two (L2) scaling solutions for Bitcoin has persisted, though bitcoin capacity in the Lightning Network has seen a decline. In recent years, other varieties of L2 solutions have emerged, capturing the attention of the crypto community. On March 19, 2024, the lead developer at Blockchair unveiled L2 Watch, an […]
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The price of Ethereum has not exactly lived up to its promise as the month has gone on, despite a stellar start to the month. While this bearish pressure has been widespread in the general cryptocurrency market, regulation uncertainty has been an additional concern for ETH, igniting a negative sentiment around the “king of altcoins.”
Interestingly, the latest on-chain revelation shows a substantial amount of Ethereum has made its way to exchanges so far in March, suggesting that investors might be losing confidence in the long-term promise of the cryptocurrency.
According to data from CryptoQuant, more than $913 million has been recorded in net ETH transfers to centralized exchanges so far in March. This on-chain information was revealed via a quicktake post on the data analytics platform.
This net fund movement represents the largest volume of Ethereum transferred to centralized exchanges in a single month since June 2022. Even though March is still a week from being over, this exchange inflow appears to be a complete deviation from the pattern observed over the past few months.
Chart showing total monthly netflow of ETH on centralized exchanges | Sources: CryptoQuant
As shown in the chart above, October 2023 was the last time cryptocurrency exchanges witnessed a positive net flow. It is worth noting that there was significant movement of Ethereum tokens out of the centralized platforms in subsequent months up until this month.
Meanwhile, a separate data point that supports the massive exodus of ETH to centralized exchanges has come to light. Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed on X nearly 420,000 Ethereum tokens (equivalent to $1.47 billion) have been transferred to cryptocurrency exchanges in the past three weeks.
The flow of large amounts of cryptocurrency to centralized exchanges is often considered a bearish sign, as it can be an indication that investors may be willing to sell their assets. Ultimately, this can put downward pressure on the cryptocurrency’s price.
Substantial fund movements to trading platforms could also represent a shift in investor sentiment. It could be a sign that investors are losing faith in a particular asset (ETH, in this case).
Moreover, the recent regulatory headwind surrounding Ethereum specifically accentuates this hypothesis. According to the latest report, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission is considering a probe to classify the ETH token as a security.
As of this writing, the Ethereum token is valued at $3,343, reflecting a 4% price decline over the past /4 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, ETH is down by 11% in the past week.
Ethereum loses the $3,400 level again on the daily timeframe | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
This week’s non-fungible token (NFT) sales have taken another nosedive, intensifying the downtrend that began with a 16.55% decline from March 9 to March 16, 2024. The last seven days have witnessed an even steeper drop, with NFT sales plummeting by 18.57%. Cryptopunk #7,804 Shines in a Week of Falling NFT Sales In line with […]
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As of March 22, the bitcoin holdings of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have diminished by 27,917.37 compared to its status three days prior, now amounting to 350,252 bitcoin valued at approximately $22.2 billion. Since evolving into an exchange-traded fund (ETF) listed on public exchanges, GBTC has shed billions in bitcoin over the preceding 71 days. […]
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A London resident reportedly caught with bitcoins worth over $4.3 billion has been convicted for entering into a money laundering arrangement. The woman specialized in converting digital assets into physical assets, such as multimillion-dollar houses and jewelry. Converting Bitcoin to Physical Assets A British woman, found in possession of bitcoins currently valued at over $4.3 […]
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In line with the decline in Bitcoin’s price, the spot Bitcoin ETF market has appeared rather gloomy in recent days. According to data from analytics firm BitMEX Research, these BTC ETFs have recorded a negative netflow for the last four trading sessions.
This situation has been marked by large levels of Grayscale’s GBTC outflows and the record low inflows for the other ETFs, mainly the market leaders BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. However, amidst these persistent declining netflows, Ki Young Ju, a prominent analyst and Chief Executive Officer at Cryptoquant, has predicted a possible resurgence in the spot Bitcoin ETF market.
In a post on X on March 22, Ki Young Ju shared that a rise in spot Bitcoin ETFs netflows could occur even as the BTC price decline continues. Using data from the historical netflow trends, the analyst noted that demand for Bitcoin ETFs usually kicks in when the cryptocurrency traces to certain support levels.
Young Ju stated that, in particular, new BTC whales, especially ETF buyers, have shown to have a $56,000 on-chain cost basis. This suggests that the new significant holders of Bitcoin, particularly those invested in ETFs, usually purchased Bitcoin at an average price of $56,000. Following this trend, the crypto quant boss believes the spot Bitcoin ETF market could experience massive inflows if BTC reached the specified price level.
#Bitcoin spot ETF netflows are slowing.
Demand may rebound if the $BTC price approaches critical support levels.
New whales, mainly ETF buyers, have a $56K on-chain cost basis. Corrections typically entail a max drawdown of around 30% in bull markets, with a max pain of $51K. pic.twitter.com/vZCG4F0Gh5
— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) March 22, 2024
For now, Bitcoin’s price has oscillated between $62,000 and $68,000, as seen in the last week. However, Young Ju believes that such a descent is quite feasible as price corrections usually see a maximum decline of 30%. Using BTC’s most recent high of $73,750, the analyst predicts the asset price could still trade as low as $51,000.
At press time, Bitcoin continues to trade at $64,065.74, representing a decline of 3.73% and 7.17% in the last one and seven days. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume is down 3.53% and valued at $39.62 billion.
Following historical trends of the bull cycle, it is possible that BTC may have reached its price peak leading up to the halving event in April. If that is the case, Bitcoin may likely not return to previous high price levels soon and could experience further price drops in the coming weeks.
BTC trading at $64,315.00 on the hourly chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview
Featured image from Euronews, chart from Tradingview
Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
PRESS RELEASE. GAIMIN (www.gaimin.io), the world’s leader in delivering decentralised data processing power through gaimin.cloud (www.gaimin.cloud), and io.net (www.io.net) one of the world’s largest Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network (DePIN) for AI compute have agreed to investigate how the synergistic technologies from both companies can be integrated to deliver the processing capability to support the growing […]
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The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained that Bitcoin tends to reach a potential top when the long-term holders show this pattern.
In a new report, Glassnode discussed the influence that the BTC long-term holders have on the cryptocurrency’s supply dynamics. The “long-term holders” (LTHs) here refer to the Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins for more than 155 days.
The LTHs comprise one of the two main divisions of the BTC user base based on holding time, with the other cohort known as the “short-term holders” (STHs).
Historically, the LTHs have proven themselves to be the persistent hands of the market. They don’t quickly sell their coins regardless of what is happening in the broader sector. The STHs, on the other hand, often react to FUD and FOMO events.
As such, it’s not unusual to see the STHs participating in selling. However, the LTHs showing sustained distribution can be something to note, as selling from these HODLers, who usually sit tight, may have implications for the market.
There are many different ways of tracking the behavior of the LTHs, but in the context of the current discussion, Glassnode has used the “LTH Market Inflation Rate” metric.
As the report explains:
It shows the annualized rate of Bitcoin accumulation or distribution by LTHs relative to daily miner issuance. This rate helps identify periods of net accumulation, where LTHs are effectively removing Bitcoin from the market, and periods of net distribution, where LTHs add to the market’s sell-side pressure.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the BTC LTH Market Inflation Rate over the past several years:
The value of the metric seems to have been on the rise in recent days | Source: Glassnode
In the chart, the analytics firm has also attached the data for the asset’s Inflation Rate, which is basically the amount that the miners are introducing into the circulating supply by solving blocks and receiving rewards for them.
When the LTH Market Inflation Rate equals 0%, these HODLers are accumulating amounts exactly equal to what the miners are issuing.
This implies that the indicator below the 0% mark suggests the LTHs are pulling coins out of the supply, while it being above is a sign that they are either distributing or just not buying enough to absorb what the miners are producing.
The graph shows that historically, the cryptocurrency’s price has tended to reach a state of equilibrium and potentially even a top when the LTH distribution has peaked.
The LTH Market Inflation Rate has been increasing recently, but it’s yet to reach any significant levels. As for what this could mean for the market, Glassnode says:
Currently, the trend in the LTH market inflation rate indicates we are in an early phase of a distribution cycle, with about 30% completed. This suggests significant activity ahead within the current cycle until we achieve a market equilibrium point from the supply and demand perspective and potential price tops.
Bitcoin has retraced most of its recovery from the past few days, as its price has now declined to $63,800.
Looks like the price of the asset has witnessed a drawdown again | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
