The European Central Bank (ECB) has published a blog post claiming that “bitcoin has failed to fulfill its original promise to become a global decentralized digital currency.” The ECB economists who authored the post added that bitcoin’s fair value is still zero and bitcoin transactions are “still inconvenient, slow, and costly.” Moreover, they asserted that […]
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BNB Price Could See Major Drawdown If It Fails To Stay Above This Support
BNB price started a fresh decline from $320 resistance zone. The price is now retesting the $290 support and is at risk of more downsides.
- BNB price is gaining bearish momentum from the $320 resistance.
- The price is now trading below $310 and the 100 simple moving average (4 hours).
- There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $315 on the 4-hour chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance).
- The pair might continue to move down if it fails to stay above the $290 support.
BNB Price Takes Hit
In the past few days, BNB price made more than three attempts to clear the $320 resistance zone. However, the bears remained active and protected more gains.
As a result, there was a bearish reaction below the $315 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $315 on the 4-hour chart of the BNB/USD pair. The pair even declined below the $300 level and tested the key support at $290.
A low is formed near $290.3, and the price is now struggling to correct higher. BNB price is now trading below $310 and the 100 simple moving average (4 hours). Immediate resistance is near the $298 level or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $320 swing high to the $290 low.
Source: BNBUSD on TradingView.com
The next resistance sits near the $305 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $320 swing high to the $290 low. A clear move above the $305 zone could send the price further higher. In the stated case, BNB price could test $320. A close above the $320 resistance might set the pace for a larger increase toward the $335 resistance. Any more gains might call for a test of the $350 level.
More Downsides?
If BNB fails to clear the $305 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $290 level.
The next major support is near the $285 level. The main support sits at $272. If there is a downside break below the $272 support, the price could drop toward the $250 support. Any more losses could initiate a larger decline toward the $220 level.
Technical Indicators
4-Hours MACD – The MACD for BNB/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.
4-Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BNB/USD is currently below the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $290, $285, and $272.
Major Resistance Levels – $298, $305, and $320.
Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
Stock market fails to stage a ‘Santa Claus rally’ in rough start to 2024
Santa Claus was pretty much a no-show on Wall Street.
As defined by the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the “Santa Claus rally” refers to the S&P 500’s tendency to rise during the last five trading days of a calendar year and the first two trading sessions of the new year.
Since 1950, the Santa rally has boosted the S&P 500 by an average of 1.3% over the seven trading-day range. The benchmark large-cap index
SPX
closed higher 78% of the Santa Claus trading window in the past 75 years, and gained during that time for the past seven years, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
That compares with an average return of 0.2% for the S&P 500 during any seven trading-day range since 1950. The index also closed higher 58% of any seven-day trading window over the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
But this time around, the Santa rally period, which ran from Dec. 22 through Wednesday, Jan. 3, saw the S&P 500 fall 0.9%. That was the worst performance for a Santa-rally period since 2015-2016, snapping a streak of seven positive Santa stretches, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
The Nasdaq Composite
COMP
also dropped over that time span, down 2.5% since Dec. 22 to book its third consecutive negative Santa rally period, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA
eked out a modest gain of less than 0.1% over the same period, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
A failure to rally in that stretch is seen by some market analysts as a signal for more rough sledding ahead.
“Years when there was no ‘Santa Claus rally’ tended to precede bear markets or times when stocks hit significantly lower prices later in the year,” wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac & Almanac Investor Newsletter.
U.S. stocks finished lower on Wednesday as most megacap technology stocks fell for a second session to start the new year. Investors appeared to reassess the year-end rally which helped the Nasdaq Composite surge 43% in 2023, while digesting the monetary-policy path in 2024 following the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting.
The S&P 500 was down 0.8%, to end at 4,704 on Wednesday, while the Dow industrials also dropped 0.8%, at 37,430, and the Nasdaq tumbled 1.2%, to finish at 14,592, according to FactSet data.
ETF anticipation fails to lift prices as market faces $220 million in liquidations
Quick Take
The crypto industry is eagerly awaiting the approval of a spot in the Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) in the first weeks of January.
While the market has been expecting institutions to push Bitcoin’s price up in anticipation of the ETF, no such trend has been observed.
Recently, the market has witnessed significant leverage, leading to a large volume of liquidations. Over the past 24 hours, more than $220 million has been liquidated in the digital asset market, according to Coinglass. This trend of high leverage and subsequent liquidations has been apparent for the past few weeks.
Bitcoin’s price fell below $42,000, a significant drop that can be attributed to these large-scale liquidations resulting from the aforementioned high leverage.
This illustrates the dynamic and speculative nature of the crypto market, strongly influenced by factors such as trading trends, potential regulatory changes, and their cumulative impact on digital asset prices.

The post ETF anticipation fails to lift prices as market faces $220 million in liquidations appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Sam Bankman-Fried defense team fails to land a blow as he takes stand
Courtroom sketch showing Sam Bankman Fried questioned by his attorney Mark Cohen. Judge Lewis Kaplan on the bench
Artist: Elizabeth Williams
Sam Bankman-Fried took the stand in a New York courtroom on Thursday, as he and his defense team auditioned their best legal material for U.S. District Judge Lewis Kaplan.
The former crypto billionaire had originally been scheduled to testify before the jury, but the judge sent jurors home early to consider whether some aspects of Bankman-Fried’s planned testimony, related to legal advice he got while running FTX, would be admissible in court.
In a sort of mini-hearing within the trial, defense attorney Mark Cohen guided Bankman-Fried through a series of questions designed to showcase the defense’s strongest arguments of his innocence, including suggesting that he relied on FTX’s former chief regulatory officer and in-house attorney, Dan Friedberg, to guide some actions that the government claims are illegal.
Bankman-Fried faces seven criminal counts, including wire fraud, securities fraud and money laundering, that could land him in prison for more than 100 years if he is convicted at his trial in Manhattan federal court. Bankman-Fried, the son of two Stanford legal scholars, has pleaded not guilty in the case.
“Before the trial, I was convinced that SBF was headed to near-certain conviction on serious felony counts, and it was apparent to me that his defense team had not come up with anything that could derail that result,” said Renato Mariotti, a former prosecutor in the U.S. Justice Department’s Securities & Commodities Fraud Section and now a trial partner in Chicago with Bryan Cave Leighton Paisner.
“Nothing that has occurred during the trial has changed my view. The evidence of his guilt appears to be overwhelming,” added Mariotti.
In the last four weeks of trial, multiple members of the C-suite at crypto exchange FTX, and its sister hedge fund Alameda Research, have all singled out Bankman-Fried as the mastermind behind the scenes. Several of these witnesses have themselves pleaded guilty to multiple charges, including Bankman-Fried’s ex-girlfriend Caroline Ellison, who faces a maximum sentence of 110 years for crimes committed while she was the CEO of Alameda.
Prosecutors have also entered evidence to corroborate witness accounts, including encrypted Signal messages and other internal documents that appear to show Bankman-Fried orchestrating the spending of FTX customer money.
The defense’s case — which is comprised of Bankman-Fried’s upcoming testimony along with that of two witnesses who both wrapped in just over an hour on Thursday morning — hinges on whether the jury believes the defendant when he takes the stand.
“He has always been convinced that he’s the smartest guy in the room and that he can talk his way out of any problem,” continued Mariotti.
“But the biggest problem with SBF’s testimony will be SBF himself. Given that the core issue will be intent to defraud, SBF should be portraying himself as clueless, inattentive, and in over his head. But for years he had portrayed himself as a visionary genius, and I don’t expect that to change on the stand,” he said.

Defense struggles to land a blow
Judge Kaplan previously ruled that Bankman-Fried’s lawyers could not make a so-called advice of counsel argument in their opening remarks since it might risk prejudicing the jury. On Thursday, Kaplan sent the jury home early to reconsider in a closed-door session whether to allow this line of testimony.
Under questioning led by Cohen, Bankman-Fried appeared to place much of the criminal blame on FTX’s chief regulatory officer, Friedberg, as well as outside counsel Fenwick & West, which advised the crypto exchange. Bankman-Fried spoke about Friedberg’s active involvement in everything from the company-wide auto deletion policy on messaging apps like Signal, to the creation of Alameda’s North Dimension bank account, where billions of dollars worth of FTX customer money was funneled.
The former FTX chief also said that the hundreds of millions of dollars in personal loans to himself and other founders of the platform were structured through promissory notes drafted by his in-house legal team and discussed in concert with his general counsel and Friedberg. Having the blessing of his legal counsel was something that SBF said he “took comfort in.”
While taking the stand offers Bankman-Fried the opportunity to tell his side of the story to jurors, it also opens the door for federal prosecutors to go for the jugular in cross-examination. Following damning testimony from Bankman-Fried’s closest ex-confidantes and top deputies, defense attorneys for the FTX founder have failed to flip the narrative in cross-examining key witnesses or to undermine the most troubling allegations regarding their client.
Indeed, Bankman-Fried’s practice run on Thursday was tough to watch. While he came across as direct and credible in his direct examination, the grilling by prosecutors was aggressive and effective. At multiple points, the judge appeared exasperated by Bankman-Fried’s responses, once saying that the defendant had an “interesting way of answering questions.”
The defendant’s demeanor flipped 180 degrees when U.S. assistant attorney Danielle Sassoon began her questioning. He swiveled back and forth in his chair, nervously shook a piece of paper he held in his hands, repeatedly grabbed for his water bottle before responding, and skirted a lot of questions by saying he couldn’t recall what had happened.
Judge Kaplan interjected at one point, telling the defendant to “listen to the question and answer the question directly.”
On Friday morning, we’ll get a ruling from the judge on what’s admissible from the defense’s wish list of topics – as well as Bankman-Fried’s debut before the jury from the stand.
“Given that he appears headed for defeat, taking the stand can be a ‘Hail Mary’ of sorts,” said Mariotti.
“SBF will be hamstrung by his many prior statements, which could be used to impeach him. It will be difficult for SBF to weave his testimony around those prior statements.”
This week’s testimony is just the latest example of the defense team’s struggle to land a blow in the criminal fraud case.
Prosecutors spent four weeks of the trial walking former leaders of FTX and Alameda Research through specific actions taken by their boss that resulted in clients losing billions of dollars late last year.
In trying to poke holes in witness accounts, Bankman-Fried’s lawyers have repeatedly jumped around, unable to maintain a consistent timeline or coherent argument, while also opening the door for witnesses to offer additional testimony in furtherance of what they’d previously told the jury.
The scattershot approach is potentially troubling for Bankman-Fried, who’s counting on his defense attorneys to keep him out of prison in what could be a life sentence if convicted. The central claim the defense has been unable to knock down is that Bankman-Fried knowingly used billions of dollars in FTX customer funds to pay for his lavish lifestyle, to make political donations and, most dramatically, to cover a gaping hole in Alameda’s books following the cratering of cryptocurrency prices last year.
Cohen, a co-founder of the New York law firm Cohen & Gresser, is being joined at trial by Christian Everdell, a member of the firm’s white collar defense team. Cohen, a graduate of the University of Michigan Law School, started his firm 21 years ago and previously served as an assistant U.S. attorney for the Eastern District of New York. Everdell started at Cohen & Gresser in 2017 after almost a decade working as a prosecutor for the Southern District of New York.

— CNBC’s Dawn Giel contributed to this report.
Ethereum Price Increase Could Soon Fade If ETH Fails To Surpass $1,750
Ethereum price is attempting a fresh increase above $1,720 against the US Dollar. ETH could accelerate higher if it clears the $1,750 resistance.
- Ethereum is attempting a fresh increase above the $1,720 level.
- The price is trading above $1,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a connecting trend line forming with resistance near $1,750 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $1,750 resistance zone.
Ethereum Price Gains Traction
Ethereum’s price settled above the $1,650 level. ETH formed a base above $1,650 and recently started a decent increase above the $1,700 level, like Bitcoin.
There was a move above the $1,720 resistance level and the price tested the $1,750 zone. A high was formed near $1,756 and there was a minor downside correction. The price declined below the $1,735 level. However, it is still above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent rally from the $1,668 swing low to the $1,756 high.
Ethereum is trading above $1,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $1,750 level. There is also a connecting trend line forming with resistance near $1,750 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com
The next major resistance is $1,800. A clear move above the $1,800 resistance zone could set the pace for a larger increase. In the stated case, the price could visit the $1,850 resistance. The next key resistance might be $1,920. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward $2,000.
Are Dips Supported in ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,750 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,710 level. The next key support is $1,680.
The 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent rally from the $1,668 swing low to the $1,756 high is also near $1,685 to provide support, below which the price could test the $1,650 support. A downside break below the $1,650 support might start another bearish wave. In the stated case, there could be a drop toward the $1,600 level.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Level – $1,700
Major Resistance Level – $1,750
Apple iPhone 15 Launch Fails to Excite Investors. What Wall Street Is Saying.
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Apple stock fell 1.7% Tuesday after the company’s product launch event. (Photo by Eric Thayer/Getty Images)
Apple
’s
long-awaited iPhone 15 launch left investors disappointed, and Wall Street doesn’t seem enthused, either.
The world’s most-valuable company unveiled its new iPhone models Tuesday, and things went pretty much as expected. The one surprise was the lack of a price increase for the iPhone Pro, largely expected by analysts, although
Apple
did hike the starting price for the Pro Max by $100.
Apple stock (ticker: AAPL), which fell 1.7% to $176.30 Tuesday, has climbed an average of 5% in the three months following an iPhone release, according to Dow Jones Market Data. In premarket trading Wednesday,
Apple
stock is down 0.5% to $175.47.
D.A. Davidson analyst Tom Forte doesn’t see Apple stock getting a boost after the latest phone launch. “Unlike years past, we believe the company may not be able to rely on strong iPhone sales to drive its share price higher,” he wrote in a note Wednesday.
Forte noted that management was guiding for revenue to decline in the September quarter despite the iPhone 15 release date of Sept. 22. He also cited the “potential for lackluster sales” in China. He reiterated a Neutral rating on Apple stock and a price target of $180.
KeyBanc analysts, led by John Vinh, also saw the product launch as being “slightly negative” for the stock, but maintained an Overweight rating and a $200 price target.
“We see the September event as a modest negative for Apple given a lack of expected price increase for the Pro model, features that lack a compelling motivation for consumers to upgrade, and modestly less aggressive promotions from carriers,” they said.
Evercore ISI analysts viewed the event as “mildly disappointing,” and said a price increase for the Pro would’ve helped mitigate the impacts of Huawei’s recently launched new smartphone.
“Investors typically go into this event with relatively low expectations given it has been a long time since we have seen a major change to the iPhone design or functionality, but investors were hoping to see a $100 bump to the cost of the Pro, which would’ve helped offset any potential headwinds from Huawei’s Mate 60 Pro Launch,” they said. They still have an Outperform rating on the stock, with a price target of $210.
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Not everyone saw the launch event in a negative light. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives hiked his price target on Apple stock to $240 from $230, kept an Outperform rating, and said the upgrade cycle over the next year will surprise to the upside. He wrote that no price increase for the iPhone 15 Pro was a surprise, but that the hike for the Pro Max was a “smart strategic move.”
He expects a greater proportion of consumers to shift toward the Pro models from the basic model, in a 75% to 25% split, compared with the 60% to 40% seen in recent years—a “major tailwind” for the company’s average selling price.
“We believe the robust consumer product cycle continues globally for Cook & Co. despite the noise, with the iPhone 15 giving Apple additional momentum heading into the all-important holiday season,” Ives wrote.
Citi analysts also saw the positives, noting that “flat pricing on the three models could help lift units in a tough macro environment.” They said Apple is more focused on maximizing gross profit per unit from consumers migrating to premium phones, adding that the iPhone 15 would drive higher premiumization than the iPhone 14 range. They maintained a Buy rating on Apple stock with a $240 price target.
Write to Callum Keown at callum.keown@barrons.com
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin believes the success of Ethereum will come down to three major technical “transitions” that need to happen almost simultaneously — layer-2 scaling, wallet security and privacy-preserving features.
In a June 9 post via his personal blog, Buterin explained that the Ethereum blockchain outright “fails” without sufficient scaling infrastructure to make transactions cheap.
“Ethereum fails because each transaction costs $3.75 ($82.48 if we have another bull run), and every product aiming for the mass market inevitably forgets about the chain and adopts centralized workarounds for everything,” he said.
The Three Transitions:https://t.co/rtewRnm2wK
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) June 9, 2023
Another point of failure, according to Buterin, relates to smart contract wallets.
He explained that a move to smart contract wallets has caused some issues, because of complexities from the user experience side of things when users take control of multiple addresses at once.

In addition to wallets securing crypto assets, Buterin explained that wallets would need to secure data in order to truly transition into an on-chain world with zero-knowledge rollups:
“In a ZK world, however, this is no longer true: the wallet is not just protecting authentication credentials, it’s also holding your data.”
The last of Buterin’s three transitions — privacy — will need to come in the form of improved identity, reputation and social recovery systems.
“Without the third, Ethereum fails because having all transactions (and POAPs, etc) available publicly for literally anyone to see is far too high a privacy sacrifice for many users, and everyone moves onto centralized solutions that at least somewhat hide your data,” he said.
The Ethereum co-founder suggested that stealth addresses could be implemented to resolve this issue.
Related: Vitalik Buterin reveals 3 ‘huge’ opportunities for crypto in 2023
Buterin said that achieving all three will be “challenging” because of the “intense coordination” involved between them.
He admitted that each of the three transitions “weaken” the “one user — one address” model, which, in turn, may complicate the way transactions are executed.
“If you want to pay someone, how will you get the information on how to pay them?”
“If users have many assets stored in different places across different chains, how do they do key changes and social recovery?” he added.
Buterin concluded by stressing the need to build infrastructure that ultimately improvers user experience:
“Despite the challenges, achieving scalability, wallet security, and privacy for regular users is crucial for Ethereum’s future. It is not just about technical feasibility but about actual accessibility for regular users. We need to rise to meet this challenge.”
Magazine: ZK-rollups are ‘the endgame’ for scaling blockchains, Polygon Miden founder