The second day of the U.K. AI summit featured a one-on-one talk between Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Elon Musk, who discussed the future of the job market, China and AI as a “magic genie.”
magic
What to do with ESPN?
That question hangs over Walt Disney Co. as it prepares to report fiscal third-quarter results on Wednesday.
Like a multibillion-dollar albatross, the cable sports network has devolved from cash cow to cord-cutting victim as more people cancel their cable subscriptions and the costs of sports-broadcasting rights rise. Last month, Disney
DIS,
Chief Executive Robert Iger said ESPN was seeking a strategic partner and was open to selling an equity stake. The network, which is owned by Disney and led by Jimmy Pitaro, has talked to Major League Baseball, the National Football League, the National Basketball Association and the National Hockey League.
ESPN headlines several near-term headaches for what has recently been a not-so-magic kingdom. Already grappling with writers’ and actors’ strikes that have paralyzed production in Hollywood, Disney has also stumbled through recent high-profile box-office misses — among them “The Little Mermaid” and “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” — the loss of streaming subscribers over the past two quarters and a steep decline in linear-TV advertising that is roiling the industry. Throw in a political standoff with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and you have a five-alarm corporate fire.
“We are increasingly worried about advertising trends. Given viewership trends
remain highly negative, declining around 10% [year over year] on average, this clearly bodes very poorly for forthcoming advertising revenues,” Atlantic Equities analyst Hamilton Faber said in a note last month, in which he slashed his Disney price target to $76 from $113.
Disney’s stock has tumbled 22% to $86.28 over the past six months.
In trimming his price target 9% to $94 and downgrading Disney shares to neutral, Tim Nollen, Macquarie’s senior media tech analyst, sees “too many near-term issues” such as weak TV ad sales, direct-to-consumer declines, softening parks trends and the Hollywood strikes. The July 4 weekend was the slowest at Walt Disney World in nearly a decade, the Wall Street Journal reported.
“Disney’s cost cuts may help protect earnings, but these top-line issues are concerning,” Nollen wrote.
The company’s direct-to-consumer segment, which includes Disney+, is of particular concern. It lost $1.7 billion in fiscal 2021 and more than $4 billion in fiscal 2022, and it is expected to lose nearly $3 billion this year, according to Gimme Credit analyst Dave Novosel. Disney finds itself in a dogfight with Netflix Inc.
NFLX,
Apple Inc.
AAPL,
Amazon.com Inc.
AMZN,
Warner Bros. Discovery Inc.
WBD,
Comcast Corp.
CMCSA,
and others.
Disney’s future is inexorably linked to Iger, who recently agreed to a two-year contract extension through 2026. Iger’s restructuring plan to slash $5.5 billion in costs — including 7,000 layoffs — and his deep institutional knowledge of Disney gives analysts hope that things will turn around. He told CNBC he was open to selling Disney’s ABC broadcast stations, FX and National Geographic.
“Iger staying until late 2026 gives investors higher signal quality regarding [Disney’s] path for the next 3.5 years, a reasonable investment time frame,” Needham analyst Laura Martin said in a note in mid-July.
Longtime tech entrepreneur Anshu Agarwal joins venture firm to ‘let founders do their magic’

Anshu Agarwal has joined VC firm Converge as a general partner.
Converge
Longtime Silicon Valley entrepreneur Anshu Agarwal has decided it’s time to be a mentor rather than an operator.
In 2021, DigitalOcean Holdings Inc.
DOCN,
acquired Agarwal’s cloud company, Nimbella, the fifth startup in her portfolio of nearly two decades. After serving as vice president and general manager of DigitalOcean’s Serverless & Kubernetes business unit, elevating DigitalOcean to more than 600,000 customers, she was ready for a change.
“When I left DigitalOcean, I could have started another company or joined an established one,” Agarwal said in an interview. “I know what founders want after years as an operator.”
On Thursday, venture-capital firm Converge named Agarwal as a general partner, thereby establishing a base camp in Silicon Valley. “It is a big change for me,” Agarwal said. “I used to receive checks [from investors], and I want to give them.”
Agarwal intends to bring the same team spirit and entrepreneurship skills to funding for startups in the business-to-business, AI-software-stack and robotics-hardware sectors. She considered several offers from VC companies before selecting the Cambridge, Mass.-based Converge, which she worked with at Nimbella.
“When you have the opportunity to work with an A+ player and bring them to your team, you grab it,” Maia Heymann, also a general partner at Converge, said in a statement. “Anshu’s rare five-times successful startup-to-exit experience makes her a unique partner to the founders we back.”
As a venture capitalist, Agarwal said, she wants to “let the founders do their magic.”
She added: “It’s about advice, not just dollars and connections. I’m done with my entrepreneur chapter. It keeps you young in helping people with great ideas.”
Elijah Wood as Frodo in “The Lord of the Rings” film trilogy.
Courtesy: New Line Cinema
The One Ring that collectors were coveting this summer wasn’t found in Hobbiton or deep in the tunnels of the Misty Mountains; nor was it discovered in the Elf stronghold of Rivendell, the realm of Gondor or even beyond the Black Gates of Mordor.
It was found in Toronto last month.
And the ring bearer — if they choose to sell the “precious” — may owe a hefty tax bill on the profits. Their tax rate could be as high as 53.53%.
In this case, the One Ring isn’t the physical ring forged by the Dark Lord Sauron in the fires of Mount Doom and coveted by all manner of creatures in Middle Earth, as outlined in the author J.R.R. Tolkien’s “The Lord of the Rings” trilogy.
Instead, it’s an ultra-rare playing card in “Magic: The Gathering.”
Seven-figure bids in the quest for ‘The One Ring’
Wizards of the Coast — the company that created the Magic playing card game in 1993 — issued a “Lord of the Rings”-themed set in June, and featured a “One of One Ring” promotion. One pack contained “The One Ring,” a serialized card of which there’s only one in existence.
Public bids for the one-of-a-kind card — printed in traditional foil and in the Black Speech of Sauron using Tengwar letterforms, according to Wizards of the Coast — have extended into the millions of dollars.
The “One Ring” serialized card is a one-of-a-kind Magic: The Gathering card issued in June. Bids for the collectible, which is part of a special “Lord of the Rings” themed Magic edition, have extended into the millions of dollars.
Wizards of the Coast LLC
One would-be buyer — Gremio de Dragones, a game store based in Valencia, Spain — offered 2 million euros, about $2.2 million or 2.9 million Canadian dollars. (Its bid also included travel and lodging expenses and a free paella dinner.)
Another interested party — Dave & Adam’s, a collectibles shop near Buffalo, New York — offered $1 million.
Wizards of the Coast, which is owned by Hasbro, confirmed the card had been found as of June 30. The finder — who remains anonymous — reportedly lives in Toronto, the biggest city in Canada and the capital of the province of Ontario.
The odds of finding the card were roughly 1 in 3 million. (By comparison, the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are about 1 in 292 million.)
“To me, it’s almost the equivalent of a lottery ticket,” said Scott Plaskett, a Toronto-based certified financial planner and managing partner and CEO at Ironshield Financial Planning.
More from Personal Finance:
How to avoid this tax on high earners
Here’s what a new Supreme Court case could mean for federal wealth tax proposals
The IRS plans to tax some NFTs as collectibles — and the rich would pay up to 28% on profits
How Canada taxes capital gains
However, unlike lottery winnings — which are tax-free in Canada — The One Ring’s finder would generally owe tax on profits incurred from a sale.
The U.S. also imposes a tax on profits, known as a “capital gains” tax. It applies to stocks, bonds, real estate, collectibles and other assets.
In both countries, the tax is judged on “cost basis,” a term that refers to the original purchase price. The net profit is the leftover sum after subtracting the cost basis and other potential line items like costs incurred by the seller (like a broker’s fee, for example).
But the Canadian and U.S. tax systems differ in how they levy a capital gains tax.
Roger Perzan dressed as Sauron from “The Lord of the Rings” poses for a photo at the Fan Expo in Toronto on Sept. 4, 2015.
Marta Iwanek | Toronto Star | Getty Images
The Canadian who acquired The One Ring card would most likely pay tax on half their profits. The rest would be tax-free, experts said.
This is due to Canada’s use of an “inclusion rate.” Depending on the scenario, only a portion of profits are typically counted (i.e., included) as taxable income.
The share depends on how the card was acquired, Plaskett said. The inclusion rate is generally 50% — and that would likely apply in this scenario, he said.
If The One Ring card were sold for 2 million euros — which appears to be the current top bid — then 1 million euros (about CA$1.46 million) would be taxable.
“We used to do it that way in the U.S. but changed it a number of years ago,” Howard Gleckman, senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, said of omitting a share of profits from tax.
Total Canadian tax bill is ‘subjective’
But what’s Canada’s tax rate on the profits?
Due to the large sum of money involved, the seller would likely be taxed at Canada’s top income tax rate, experts said.
In Ontario, the top tax rate is 53.53%. This includes both federal and provincial taxes.
Because just half of the seller’s profit would be taxed in this example, the individual’s back-of-the-envelope effective tax rate on the transaction would be about 26.8% (or, half of 53.53%). The total tax bill could therefore be up to roughly CA$780,000 in this example (which translates to about $588,000.)
(In reality, the effective tax rate would be slightly lower since Canada’s income tax system is progressive, as in the U.S., experts said. That means most, but not all, of the profits here would taxed at the top rate.)
To me, it’s almost the equivalent of a lottery ticket.
Scott Plaskett
Toronto-based certified financial planner
There are alternate taxation scenarios, however, experts said.
For example, if The One Ring card were accidentally dropped by its owner and then subsequently picked up on the street by someone else, the method of acquisition would change, Plaskett said.
The inclusion rate would likely jump to 100% in this case — meaning all the profits would be taxed at 53.53%, doubling the total tax bill, he said.
In some cases, Canadian law also taxes 100% of the profits (instead of 50%) depending on a seller’s intent, said John Oakey, vice president of taxation at Chartered Professional Accountants Canada.
For example, if the person who found The One Ring card were the owner of a collectible store — and buying and selling cards was their business — a sale may be intended as a business transaction, in which case all the profits would be taxed.

There’s some ambiguity here, though, Oakey said. For example, what if the card’s owner — even if it was a hobbyist collector — put considerable effort into maximizing their profit by, among other things, proactively soliciting bids from numerous potential buyers?
The Canada Revenue Agency (Canada’s equivalent to the IRS) might also treat the sale as a business transaction in this case — in which case the full CA$2.9 million would be taxed at 53.53%.
“It’s a subjective area,” Oakey said. “It’s not black and white.”
How the U.S. taxes capital gains
In some ways, the U.S. system is more concrete, he said.
That’s because preferential capital gains tax treatment in the U.S. is based on duration.
If an asset like a stock is bought and held for a year or less, profits don’t get preferential treatment. They’re treated as a “short term” capital gain, taxed at ordinary income tax rates, which are as high as 37% at the federal level.
A “long term” capital gain applies to assets held for more than a year. They get preferential treatment.
Sir Ian McKellen as Gandalf and Elijah Wood as Frodo in “The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring.”
New Line | WireImage | Getty Images
The One Ring card would “almost definitely be deemed a collectible,” said Joe Hughes, federal policy analyst at the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy.
For example, a seller in Michigan would pay a top long-term capital gains rate of about 36% on a collectible item, Hughes said. The rough total tax bill on the $2.2 million top bid would be about $792,000 in this example.
In a state like Tennessee, which doesn’t levy a state income tax, the top long-term capital gains rate would be 31.8%.
In other words: The ring bearer would appear to fare better in Canada over the U.S. — from the perspective of tax rates, anyway.
Of course, whether Ringwraiths descend upon the ring bearer from the lair of Minas Morgul, or whether men ensnared by the evil, corrupting grip of the ring try to snatch it from the ring bearer’s grasp, this publication cannot say.
Americans believe they will need $1.27 million to retire comfortably, according to the latest set of findings from Northwestern Mutual’s 2023 Planning & Progress Study. That number continues to increase, up from $1.25 million reported last year. High-net-worth individuals – those with more than $1 million in investable assets – believe they’ll need $3 million to retire comfortably.
Consider working with a financial advisor as you plan your retirement.
Most workers have got a ways to go with their savings, the report finds. On average, Americans have set aside $89,300 of the $1.27 million they think they’ll need. That average ranges from slightly less than $36,000 in retirement savings for those in their 20s, to nearly $114,000 for people in their 70s – leaving them far off from their required savings goals.
A Positive Development
However, even in the face of a 20% loss in stocks during 2022 and soaring inflation, workers still managed to increase the average retirement savings balance by 3% from the 2022 average of $86,869.
“The good news is that they are saving and investing more for tomorrow, even in this time of high inflation and market volatility,” said Aditi Javeri Gokhale, chief strategy officer, president of retail investments and head of institutional investments at Northwestern Mutual. “That is a step in the right direction and a reverse of what we saw last year when the gap widened rather than narrowed. The challenging news is that there continues to be a big disparity between what they think they’ll need to retire and what they’ve saved to date.”
The study found that people in their 20s had saved an average of $35,800 for retirement. To hit the $1.27 million goal, someone 25 years old with that starting balance would need to invest about $306 per month for the next 40 years at an annual return of 7%. Someone 35, with the average current balance of $67,400 would need to save about $668 a month for the 30 years until they near retirement.
A 45-year-old with the average $77,400 in savings, with just 20 years to save, requires monthly savings of $1,973 per month. At 55, with a current retirement asset balance of $110,900 and 10 years until they near retirement, a worker would need to sock away the unlikely total of $6,344 per month.
Expectations as Retirement Nears
On average, the study found that 52% of people say they expect to be financially prepared for retirement when the time comes, with Gen Z coming in the most optimistic, at 65%. Gen Xers are the least optimistic, with just 45% saying they expect to be ready. Millennials are right in the middle at 54%, while 52% of Baby Boomers who have yet to retire think they’ll be financially set to retire.
The study also found that, on average, Americans expect to work a bit longer before they can call it quits than they did in previous surveys. Currently, they expect to work until age 65, up from 64 last year and 62.6 in 2021. The full retirement age for Social Security benefits is 67 years old for anyone born in or after 1960.
When it comes to feeling ready for retirement, the study found that creating a well thought-out financial plan brought a real boost of confidence. Survey respondents who described themselves as disciplined financial planners knocked two years off their retirement age, expecting to quit at 63, while people who described their planning as informal or having no plan figured they’d be retiring at age 67.
Bottom Line
Finding the answer to the question, “What’s your number?” is an essential piece of financial planning, so that investors can understand the amount of appropriate risk necessary to meet their investment and retirement goals. Typically, experts recommend saving 10% or 15% of salary for the bulk of your working years. Workers also can consult their own Social Security estimate to get a full picture of their potential retirement income.
Tips on Retirement
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While many investors obsess about trying to “beat the market,” smart investors understand that they simply need to meet their own periodic goals to “make their number” – their desired total retirement assets before they leave work. One way to get help figuring out your number is to work with a financial advisor who can help you answer all your questions about retirement options. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can have free introductory calls with your advisor matches to decide which one you feel is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.
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Fidelity recommends that you have 10 times your annual income saved for retirement by age 67. To find out if you’re on track, try SmartAsset’s retirement calculator. This free tool will estimate how much you’ll have when the time comes to retire.
Photo credit: ©iStock.com/adamkaz, ©iStock.com/, ©iStock.com/Tom Merton
The post Americans’ Magic Number for Retirement Rises to $1.27 Million appeared first on SmartAsset Blog.
Bobby Bonilla Day: Former Mets player illustrates the magic of compound interest
If you see Bobby Bonilla popping up all over your social media feeds on Saturday (as it tends to this time of year), it’s because July 1 marks the annual $1.2 million payday for the former third baseman — an event that has increasingly attracted interest from average Americans, even some who don’t know anything about baseball.
That’s because Bonilla and his agent, Dennis Gilbert, engineered a contract payout that has become one of the more talked-about feats of finance in sporting history.
On Saturday, Bonilla, now 60, will collect a check for $1,193,248.20 from the New York Mets, as he has and will every July 1 since 2011 and running through 2035, as ESPN has detailed.
Commentary: How to have your own Bobby Bonilla Day
Some have described Bonilla’s payout as one of the great examples of compound interest, because the baseball player opted to defer a $5.9 million payment in 2000 in favor of spreading payments out over 24 years, starting in 2011, with an 8% annual interest rate. Compounding is when you earn interest on your earned interest, which can have a powerful impact over time.
The net payment for Bonilla (and his agent) will be about $30 million when the baseball player turns 72. That amounts to a heck of a retirement plan if you are fortunate (or smart) enough to score it.
Related: Retirees on edge over inflation and stock volatility can take these 5 steps
To be sure, we have written about this time and time again. But it is worth reiterating, as compounding is a key concept for investors, including those investing in equities or in such stock benchmarks as the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
the S&P 500 index
SPX,
and the Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
even with stocks getting crushed in recent months as inflation and rising interest rates buffet markets.
Read: Bobby Bonilla Day: This retired baseball player’s contract is the perfect example of the power of compounding
Compounding holds true regardless of whether you are a Mets fan, or if you loved or hated Bonilla.
Opinion: Money lessons from Bobby Bonilla’s steal of a multimillion-dollar deal
Read on: The Mets are paying Bobby Bonilla over $1 million a year because of Bernie Madoff
This article was originally published in July 2021 and has been updated.