“‘I think they’re both threatening for the markets.’”
That’s a pessimistic take on the prospect of a 2024 presidential election rematch between President Joe Biden and Donald Trump from billionaire investor Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, in a Tuesday interview with CNBC on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland.
Dalio said his “biggest worry” is over whether both sides will accept the outcome of the election and, moreover, the potential for clashes between the far left and far right that could threaten the authority of other institutions.
Trump was the runaway winner in Iowa’s Republican presidential caucus on Monday, strengthening his status as the front-runner for the party’s nomination and setting the stage for a potential rematch with Biden.
Dalio said concerns around Biden’s vigor underlines the possibility of a “more progressive” Democratic Party vying with a “conservative, nationalistic” Republican party.
Dalio has previously sounded the alarm on an increasingly stark partisan divide, even raising the prospect of “civil war.”
Earlier: Ray Dalio calls McCarthy’s ouster ‘another step away from democracy and toward civil war’ (Oct. 6)
So what’s an investor to do? “You go closer to your neutral portfolio,” Dalio said, observing that aside from concerns about politics he finds that markets right now “are not either super attractive or super unattractive.”
Investors need to figure out what their “neutral” portfolio is and move toward it, he said, emphasizing that such a shift doesn’t mean going to cash “because cash is a trashy investment over a long period of time.”
Stocks were down Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA
off around 220 points, or 0.6%, while the S&P 500
SPX
shed 0.3%.
Mark Hulbert: Why Donald Trump is unlikely to get his wish for a 2024 U.S. stock-market crash